QQQM Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: Despite recent flat performance, continued institutional investment, particularly in AI, could drive QQQM up towards $220, as historical data supports stronger long-term returns.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility levels (especially at $215 strike) suggest a potential sharp downturn, particularly if broader market conditions worsen or tech sentiment shifts.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% chance of gradual price rise to $220 as institutional flows strengthen.

2. 50% chance of a price decline to ~$190 due to high volatility.

3. 20% chance of tech-driven surge past $230 fueled by major earnings announcements.




Trading Oracle: Engage in a bearish credit spread by selling $215 calls and buying $220 calls to capture profit from declining volatility. Current market sentiment supports the setup at high probability (over 70%) with a potential return of 48% on risk. Enter before options expiration to maximize returns while managing risk effectively.



November 15, 2024


Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 Forecast

QQQM        Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100











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Assets that tend to move strongly against QQQM



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