SPY Forecast


Bullish Case: The S&P 500 showcases resilience, evident from recent stability in SPY price and low implied volatility. With a history of rebounding post uncertainties, predictive models show potential short-term gains, driven by factors like possible rate cuts and global economic recovery.


Bearish Case: Despite surface appearances, persistent threats such as inflationary pressures and Fed hesitancy on rate cuts create potential for downside. Upcoming economic indicators and rate decisions could spark volatility and impact investor sentiment negatively.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Fed maintains rates, boosting SPY by 50%.

2. Rate hike triggers sell-off, 30%.

3. Persistent inflation leads to unexpected rate increment, 20%. These projections rely on recent economic trends and Federal Reserve's shifting stances.


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May 14, 2024


 SPDR S&P 500 Forecast

SPY         SPDR S&P 500
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPY



SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (1.0)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (1.0)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (1.0)


FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.99)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to SPY



MRNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRNA  Moderna (-0.0)


KMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KMB  Kimberly-Clark (0.0)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.0)


SILK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SILK  Silk Road Medical (-0.0)


CAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAG  Conagra Brands (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPY



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECS  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.97)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.98)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.98)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-1.0)


SPY News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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