AI SQ Forecast + Trading Strategies

Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: The recent uptick in SQ's implied volatility suggests traders expect significant market movement, potentially due to upcoming earnings or product launches, with high call option interest indicating bullish sentiment.


Bearish Case: Stagnating historical returns and high recent volatility may deter investors, especially if market sentiment turns negative about macroeconomic factors or competitive pressures facing Square.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Earnings surprise boosts SQ by 15% (25% chance).

2. Continued pressure from competition leads to a 10% decline (35% chance).

3. Market stabilization restores bullish sentiment raising SQ by 5% (40% chance).


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish strategy by executing a credit spread: sell $67 puts, buy $63 puts expiring in ~8 days. Aim for a 77% profit chance, leveraging low near-term volatility. This approach capitalizes on market stability while positioning for slight upward movement in SQ.


October 13, 2024










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HRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRI  Herc (0.85)


CRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRL  Charles River Laboratories International (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SQ



CSIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSIQ  Canadian Solar (-0.0)


MOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOS  Mosaic (0.0)


SIRI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIRI  Sirius XM (0.0)


PERI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PERI  Perion Network (-0.0)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SQ



CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (-0.6)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.61)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.64)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (-0.66)


PFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFE  Pfizer (-0.69)









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