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VGT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: VGT could continue its strong historical trend with tech sector resilience and high implied volatility indicating potential upside, supported by increased call option trading volume.



Bearish Case: Low option trading volume and current flat price action could indicate market stagnation, with potential correction risks heightened by tech sector vulnerabilities.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth (50%): Resilient tech sector, historical trends.

2. Stagnation (30%): Flat vol, low trading volume.

3. Correction (20%): Unforeseen volatility spikes.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread using the $620/$650 calls. Leveraging Helium's higher implied volatility forecast, target potential upside and review in 2 weeks for any volatility changes. Expect volatility to recalibrate over the next 60 days.


January 03, 2025


Vanguard Information Technology Forecast

VGT        Vanguard Information Technology

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