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FHN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: FHN's strategic moves and stable implied volatility suggest resilience. Potential merger advancements could offer upside, supported by strong fundamentals and recent positive price action.

Bearish Case: Lingering regional banking uncertainties and high implied volatility could hinder FHN's performance. Regulatory hurdles and economic pressures might suppress growth potential.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued recovery (40%).

2. Regulatory setbacks impact merger (30%).

3. Economic headwinds persist (30%).

May 21, 2025

First Horizon Forecast

FHN First Horizon

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FHN

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.94)

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JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.93)

SOFI SoFi (0.93)

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FHN

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (-0.01)

IMO Imperial Oil (-0.01)

AA Alcoa (0.04)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.04)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FHN

XP XP (-0.72)

SBLK Star Bulk Carriers (-0.72)

KHC Kraft Heinz (-0.73)

BCE BCE (-0.75)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.78)

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