APO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: APO's strategic expansions and high historical returns signal robust growth potential. Implied volatility is decreasing, and positive sentiment drives potential upside.




Bearish Case: High put trading volume and implied volatility suggest caution. Market uncertainty and achieving growth milestones pose risks, impacting potential future performance.




Potential Outcomes: Probabilistic outcomes: 50% chance of stable growth, 30% chance of flat performance, 20% correction risk due to market challenges.




Trading Oracle: Bearish Short Volatility appears advantageous. Selling ATM call options reflects caution due to high put volumes, taking advantage of volatility trends for profits.



April 02, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with APO



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.91)


VCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VCR  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Consumer Discretionary (0.91)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.9)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.9)


IGV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IGV  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to APO



TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.01)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (0.02)


MNST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNST  Monster Beverage (-0.02)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.02)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against APO



LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.79)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.79)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.81)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.82)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.84)









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