LX Forecast


Bullish Case: LX has shown short-term stabilization with a slight positive trend over the past week and 90 days, suggesting a potential rebound if positive sentiment continues and fundamental improvements materialize.


Bearish Case: The historical return surface indicates a high likelihood of negative returns for holding periods up to two years, coupled with recent flat price action and elevated implied volatility, which points to a continuation of the downward trend.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Price Rebound (+2%) - 30% chance due to stabilization.

2. Continued Decline (negative trend persists) - 55% likely based on historical return data and flat action.

3. Stabilization around current levels - 15% given current price action.


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July 16, 2024


LexinFintech Forecast

LX      LexinFintech











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Uncorrelated Assets

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UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.0)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (0.0)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOCN  DigitalOcean (0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LX



SFM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFM  Sprouts Farmers Market (-0.75)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (-0.76)


GEO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEO  Geo Group (-0.76)


MPLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPLX  MPLX (-0.76)


PGR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PGR  Progressive (-0.77)





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