RJF Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RJF's implied volatility suggests potential upside, with strong institutional backing and strategic acquisitions bolstering its growth outlook.




Bearish Case: Higher implied volatility and recent flat price action indicate potential downside risk, with market uncertainty possibly leading to institutional sell-offs.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of stabilization and growth; 35% chance of market volatility causing drops; 25% chance of continued flat performance, reflecting mixed signals.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread: buy 2 $155 calls and sell 3 $165 calls expiring in ~50 days. This leverages implied volatility with a positive expected edge and a high 70% probability-of-profit.



January 03, 2025


Raymond James Financial Forecast

RJF        Raymond James Financial











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