SHY Forecast


Bullish Case: SHY shows resilience with mean-reverting price action. Moderate bullish case due to stable historical returns and low implied future volatility.


Bearish Case: High bearish risk indicated by SHY options data. Short-term uncertainty and 287% more bearish risk in the near-term suggest caution.


Potential Outcomes: Moderate bull case: 20% (stable returns). Bear case: 60% (near-term uncertainty). Neutral: 20% (historical mean reversion). Probabilities based on implied volatility and price forecasts.


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June 27, 2024


BTC iShares 1-3 Year Trea Forecast

SHY      BTC iShares 1-3 Year Trea











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHY



BOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOH  Bank of Hawaii (0.89)


JNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNK  SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond (0.88)


AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFRM  Affirm (0.87)


EXPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPE  Expedia (0.86)


WDFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WDFC  WD-40 (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHY



MSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSM  MSC Industrial Direct Co. (-0.0)


WYNN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WYNN  Wynn Resorts (0.0)


TOST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TOST  Toast (-0.0)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.01)


LVS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LVS  Las Vegas Sands (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHY



FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (-0.83)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.83)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)


SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.84)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.85)





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