GAIA Forecast


Bullish Case: Revenue growth, positive cash flow, and operational efficiency drive Gaia's potential, supported by favorable forecasts and recent short-term gains (+84.4% YoY).


Bearish Case: Persistent long-term downtrend (-43.4% over ten years) and high put option volume show continued investor skepticism, with potential for further declines.


Potential Outcomes: Continued growth in revenue and gains (30% chance); further stock decline due to skepticism (60% chance); unexpected major scientific breakthrough boosting stock (10% chance).


Trading Oracle: Initiate a bear-leaning calendar spread: short GAIA 07/19/24 $5.00Ps and long GAIA 11/15/24 $5.00Ps. This strategy capitalizes on high IV, persistent decline trend while allowing adaptability to short-term gains. Monitor for sentiment shifts near earnings reports.


June 28, 2024


Gaia Forecast

GAIA      Gaia











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SFM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFM  Sprouts Farmers Market (0.95)


VRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRT  Vertiv (0.94)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (0.94)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (0.93)


VST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VST  Vistra (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GAIA



MBB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MBB  BTC iShares MBS (0.0)


KEYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KEYS  Keysight (-0.0)


AES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AES  AES (-0.0)


GRAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRAB  Grab Holdings Limited (0.0)


GPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPN  Global Payments (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GAIA



LAZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAZR  Luminar (-0.91)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.91)


GPRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPRE  Green Plains (-0.91)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (-0.92)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.92)





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